2024 Presidential Prediction Odds 538. Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. Mr biden’s catastrophic performance in the first debate sowed the seeds for the end of his candidacy.

This page displays the current 270towin polling average for each state. The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows president biden more likely to win than former president trump — biden’s best odds since may.